Real League Table 2014-15

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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby jerroll » 01 Feb 2015, 19:47

Working on 90 points as a projected winning figure the teams involved can currently drop and still make 90 points:-

Barnet 17 points
Macclesfield 12 points
Grimsby 11 points
Bristol Rovers 10 points
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby PBBee » 01 Feb 2015, 20:19

jerroll wrote:Working on 90 points as a projected winning figure the teams involved can currently drop and still make 90 points:-

Barnet 17 points
Macclesfield 12 points
Grimsby 11 points
Bristol Rovers 10 points


I like the look of that John! 25pts needed @ 1.78 pointer per game.

So I would say we could lose 4 & draw 2/3 (3 would be 89pts but another team would surely need 90 with our GD although Grimsby aren't miles behind on that).

Surely we can do the following:
-Lose to let's say: Grimsby (H), Halifax (A), Kiddy (A) & Eastleigh (A)
-Draw to: FGR (H), Woking (H) & Halfiax (H)
-Win against: Gateshead, Welling & Nuneaton at home & Dartford, Altrincham, Alfreton & Wrexham away
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby OB1 » 02 Feb 2015, 08:16

Predictions from a Grimsby supporter


This is the run in of remaining games with my predicted results. I've not bothered about games left to play if in the trophy.

Barnet, Bristol R, Macclesfield &Town

TBC Town 2-0 Afc Telford

7th Feb
Barnet 1-2 Woking
Bristol R 3-1 Lincoln
FGR 1-2 Town
Macclesfield 2-0 Welling

10th Feb
Macclesfield 1-1 Altrincham

14th Feb
Wrexham 1-1 Barnet
Town 2-1 Bristol R
Southport 1-2 Macclesfield

21st Feb
Barnet 1-2 Grimsby
Bristol R 2-0 Altrincham

24th Feb
Bristol R 2-0 Braintree

28th Feb
Altrincham 1-2 Barnet
Eastleigh 2-0 Macclesfield
Town 3-1 Braintree
Gateshead 2-1 Bristol R

7th Mar
Barnet 2-2 FGR
Bristol R 1-1 Eastleigh
Macclesfield 2-1 Aldershot
Woking 2-2 Town

14th Mar
Eastleigh 1-0 Barnet
Halifax 2-1 Bristol R
Chester 1-3 Town
Gateshead 2-1 Macclesfield

21st Mar
Barnet 3-1 Welling
Bristol R 1-1 Aldershot
Macclesfield 2-0 Nuneaton
Town 2-1 Eastleigh

28th Mar
Alfreton 0-3 Barnet
Macclesfield 1-1 Bristol R
Welling 0 - 2 Town

4th Apr
Barnet 2-0 Nuneaton
Bristol R 2-0 Chester
Halifax 1-1 Macclesfield
Town 2-1 Gateshead

6th Apr
Dartford 1-1 Barnet
Alfreton 0-2 Town
Kiddy 1-2 Bristol R
Macclesfield 1-2 Wrexham

11th Apr
Barnet 1-2 Halifax
Bristol R 2-0 Southport
FGR 2-0 Macclesfield
Town 2-1 Wrexham

18 Apr
Kiddy 2-1 Barnet
Dover 1-1 Bristol R
Macclesfield 2-0 Dartford
Southport 1-0 Town

25th Apr
Barnet 1-1 Gateshead
Bristol R 2-0 Alfreton
Torquay 2-2 Macclesfield
Town 1-1 Aldershot

Barnet - 16 pts
Bristol R - 25 pts
Macclesfield - 19 pts
Town - 32 pts

Town - 88 pts
Bristol R - 83 pts
Barnet - 81 pts
Macclesfield - 76 pts

Maybe a bit harsh on Barnet but thats my prediction how does your fare.





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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby kingoffootball » 02 Feb 2015, 09:51

I think we will keep more than two clean sheets in our remaining games.
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby Moonchild_Bee » 02 Feb 2015, 10:00

2 points out the next 6 games?

.33 points a game when we average over 2? 1.14 points a game over the last 14 games?

Cannot but feel that "Maybe a bit harsh on Barnet" is more than wishful thinking!
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby kingpinfid » 02 Feb 2015, 16:22

I think predicting that we will only take 8 points from our final 7 home games shows how desperate some opposition supporters have become. That would mean dropping 13 points at home, as many as we have in our last 16 home games.

Grimsby may well end up with 88 points, but we will end up with significantly more than 81 points.

92 points will make us Champions (again).
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby BeesKnees » 02 Feb 2015, 16:38

I ran my forecasting program for the first time today and it is currently forecasting

Barnet 88
Grimsby 85
Macclesfield 84
Bristol 82

Looking at the Grimsby forecast it appears to miss the games yet to be rearranged so our game away at Halifax is missing and so is Macclesfields games against Telford and Braintree
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby PBBee » 02 Feb 2015, 20:15

I just used the Grimsby result predictor and guessed the top 4's results:

Barnet 95
Grimsby 95
Macclesfield 88
Bristol Rovers 86

Up on Goal Difference (the same way we got relegated). Although that means Grimsby would only drop 6pts until the end of the season!
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby hoofer2 » 05 Feb 2015, 11:35

Moonchild_Bee wrote:2 points out the next 6 games?

.33 points a game when we average over 2? 1.14 points a game over the last 14 games?

Cannot but feel that "Maybe a bit harsh on Barnet" is more than wishful thinking!


We will beat Woking and get at least a draw away to Wrexham...
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby timbee » 06 Feb 2015, 12:39

Just to add to the fun and games I have added a view of the top of the table based on points per game and showing the possible total for the top teams. Hopefully this is useful whilst there is a disparity in the numbers of games played.
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby jerroll » 06 Feb 2015, 15:52

timbee wrote:Just to add to the fun and games I have added a view of the top of the table based on points per game and showing the possible total for the top teams. Hopefully this is useful whilst there is a disparity in the numbers of games played.


have you calculated FGR on their actual PPG or the PPG based on their 3 point deduction?
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby timbee » 06 Feb 2015, 16:18

jerroll wrote:
timbee wrote:Just to add to the fun and games I have added a view of the top of the table based on points per game and showing the possible total for the top teams. Hopefully this is useful whilst there is a disparity in the numbers of games played.


have you calculated FGR on their actual PPG or the PPG based on their 3 point deduction?


Calculated on the whatever the table on the BBC has when it is copied into a spreadsheet! So the answer is ... ummm I don't know. :?:
I will investigate when I do the post-Saturday update (which will be on Sunday morning).
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby jerroll » 06 Feb 2015, 16:25

Just thought I'd confuse you Tim!
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby timbee » 06 Feb 2015, 21:13

jerroll wrote:Just thought I'd confuse you Tim!


And you've succeeded. ;-)
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Re: Real League Table 2014-15

Postby GRH » 08 Feb 2015, 01:00

GRH wrote:Confirmed! The remaining points can't be distributed in such a way to get all the other teams to at least 65 points.

So 23rd is the lowest we can mathematically finish. Drink2:


21st now. :Drink1:
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